Below you'll find a list of all posts that have been tagged as “intelligence analysis”
All humans seek to be right, to get the correct answer, to take fruitful action; we rarely agree on the facts, the logic, the path to success. The mid-level professional will come to recognize that there are different cognitive frameworks. The engineer will realize that marketing doesn’t “get” her. The accountant will wonder how so many could have such disdain …
Based on my mission (Codename: GRINGO11) to collect and analyze the interaction between Trump-Russia headlines and the publishers of disinformation about geopolitical analysts getting the story of the century correct, here’s another pattern analysis: The Four-Day Panic Rule. It took a historic disinformation campaign to create the chaotic narrative around the Trump “victory.” And a very intense one to cover up …
This recent video at the Casualty Actuarial Society‘s annual meeting shows my keynote on the future of risk and foresight. As the world grapples with traumatic leadership decisions (Trump, Brexit, etc) it seems a good time to revisit our assumptions on how to manage uncertainty. This keynote starts with the history of foresight – why we crave it, yet lack …
In Why Software Will Never Replace Strategic Analysts, I laid down a theme I’ll be covering in my closing keynote for the Business Forecasting and Analytics Forum in Chicago on September 20: That data and information may belong to computers, but that knowledge, wisdom, and leadership will remain a uniquely human endeavor. Some took this to mean that I didn’t think …
