futures studies book by Michel Godet

Books to help you get started in futures studies

Eric Garland Futures Studies, Intelligence Analysis Leave a Comment

Over at Competitive Futures we have a primer on the best books to get if you’re a beginner in the line of futures studies. While you may be raring to talk about nanotechnology and (I hope not) the Singularity, I think you’re better served by checking out the roots of futures studies in post-War France, the mid-1960s Pentagon, and the …

futures studies

Futures studies and the psychology of loss

Eric Garland Futures Studies 5 Comments

When you begin working in the discipline of futures studies, you immediately dive into the mechanics of organizing data. You learn about how to identify reliable trend information from a good source. You realize that forecasts need to be pulled apart, not worshiped. Then you shift to your right brain and enjoy the thrill of building scenarios to explore what …

My remarks at the Ibramerc Market Intelligence Forum

Eric Garland Intelligence Analysis Leave a Comment

The following is a transcript of my remarks before the Ibramerc Forum de Inteligência de Mercado in São Paulo, Brazil last week entitled, “The coming golden age of analysis.” In this speech I discuss how the profession of intelligence has gone through a very dark period, and why the coming disruptions in the global economy will make sophisticated intelligence methodologies …

How to Design for the Future

Eric Garland Uncategorized Leave a Comment

Episode #3 of The Garland Report features Scott Smith, managing partner of the design firm Changeist. In this interview, Scott tells us why foresight (futures studies, futurism, predictive intelligence, whatever you want to call it) may not work from a top-down, decisionmaker-centric focus, but is perfect for design projects. Smith tells us about how the tangible nature of design takes …