Trump Russia investigation

SCIF, NatSec, and the other buzzwords you need for Trump-Russia

Eric Garland Intelligence Analysis Leave a Comment

If your eyes are crossing as you try to dig through the bizarre acronyms and bureaucratic slang of the Trump-Russia story, you’re not alone. The lingua franca required to understand the scandal is Washington D.C.’s national security pig Latin. Readers feverishly engaged with the unveiling of treasonous mysteries have found themselves begging introverted capital cube dwellers for translations. At dinner parties …

future of risk analysis

The future of risk analysis in a complex world

Eric Garland Intelligence Analysis Leave a Comment

I’m excited to be just back from Toronto where I spoke to the Casualty Actuarial Society on a new topic I’ve been working on – the future of forecasting and risk analysis. The major trend drivers are increasing interconnectedness and complexity, mass collection of new datasets, and artificial intelligence to help us ask better questions. The Future of Risk Analysis …

future foresight analytics

More thoughts on the future of foresight

Eric Garland Intelligence Analysis Leave a Comment

Today I find myself in San Francisco, CA for JPK Group Summits’ Business Forecasting and Analytics Summit. My keynote this morning was entitled The Future of Forecasting (slides below), and in it I explore the balance between our innate desires to predict the future, emerging technologies, and human behavior. It’s not the first time I’ve given this speech, but the …