My popular keynote on the future of risk

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This recent video at the Casualty Actuarial Society‘s annual meeting shows my keynote on the future of risk and foresight. As the world grapples with traumatic leadership decisions (Trump, Brexit, etc) it seems a good time to revisit our assumptions on how to manage uncertainty. This keynote starts with the history of foresight – why we crave it, yet lack …

Trump Russia investigation

SCIF, NatSec, and the other buzzwords you need for Trump-Russia

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If your eyes are crossing as you try to dig through the bizarre acronyms and bureaucratic slang of the Trump-Russia story, you’re not alone. The lingua franca required to understand the scandal is Washington D.C.’s national security pig Latin. Readers feverishly engaged with the unveiling of treasonous mysteries have found themselves begging introverted capital cube dwellers for translations. At dinner parties …

future of risk analysis

The future of risk analysis in a complex world

Eric Garland Intelligence Analysis Leave a Comment

I’m excited to be just back from Toronto where I spoke to the Casualty Actuarial Society on a new topic I’ve been working on – the future of forecasting and risk analysis. The major trend drivers are increasing interconnectedness and complexity, mass collection of new datasets, and artificial intelligence to help us ask better questions. The Future of Risk Analysis …